一、题目: Modeling and dynamical studies of dengue outbreak in Guangzhou with public health resources

二、主讲人：朱怀平

三、时 间：2018年6月29日（周五），下午：14：30-15：10

四、地 点：闻理园A4-218室

报告摘要：Compartmental models have been used to address different

aspects of the dynamics of transmission of mosquito-borne diseases. In

this talk I will present a deterministic model for the transmission

dynamics of a dengue fever with a nonlinear recovery rate reflecting the

impact of public health resources.  Model results indicate the existence

of multiple endemic equilibria; one of them can undergo a Hopf bifurcation when parameters vary, in particular the one representing the public health resource. Additionally,our model exhibits the phenomenon of backward bifurcation as a common feature of vector-borne diseases. I will use the model and data to explain the triggering factors for the unusual long lasting endemic of dengue outbreak in Guangdong. Our model and results can be helpful for public health to plan the resources essential for control of dengue fever in developing countries or regions.

报告人简介：Huaiping Zhu, Professor and Research Chair of York University. His research interest includes dynamical system, bifurcation theory and applications and mathematical biology.

欢迎广大师生参加！

联系人：李先义

太阳成集团tyc122cc非线性分析研究所

2018年6月27日